Jammu/Srinagar , Feb 17 : Jammu and Kashmir is set to remain under a prolonged dry spell through the rest of the month, with no significant rain or snowfall expected. The continued lack of precipitation is likely to widen the rainfall deficit and deepen the seasonal shortfall across the region.
Day temperatures are forecast to stay consistently above normal. If the current warm spell strengthens further, some areas could even see temperature records being challenged for this time of year. The unusual warmth in late winter has already triggered early blooming in several parts of the Valley.
While early blossom may seem encouraging, it comes with risks. Weather patterns can still shift in March if fresh Western Disturbances affect the region. A sudden return of cold conditions or a late frost during the flowering phase could damage blossoms and fruit-bearing trees, posing a threat to horticulture.
Higher-than-normal temperatures are also expected to speed up melting of glaciers and snowpack. This may temporarily increase water discharge in rivers and springs. However, if dry conditions continue into March, water availability could decline during the crucial pre-sowing period for paddy cultivation, creating concerns for the agriculture sector.
Weather watchers say the coming weeks will be critical in determining how the early warmth shapes the remainder of the winter-to-spring transition in Jammu and Kashmir.
